Sep 29, 2008
The bailout, whether it ultimately passes or not, will likely be studied by game theorists for years to come, as there are conflicting and somewhat self-contradictory incentives between no fewer than a half-dozen different parties. Everyone wants the package to pass but nobody wants to vote for it.

Framing the plan properly would probably make it more popular. Anyone who tries to frame the plan risks taking ownership. Even if framed properly, it would probably remain unpopular enough to constitute a political liability. So no parties have an incentive to “spin” the plan as a positive, and it continues to become more unpopular as the default narrative (“Wall Street bailout”) is left unchallenged.

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Sep 26, 2008
Transparency is meaningless without accountability.

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Sep 26, 2008
Get big or go home. How big can you f—- up? Can you f—- up so bad that you would ruin the world economy? If it’s just 15,000 who are out of jobs, no. You have to actually be a global f—-up to get any help.

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Sep 26, 2008
We’re all complicit in forcing the presidential candidates to make simple, talking-point narratives. The whole mechanism of dissecting their every waking moment has created somewhat of a paralysis. We have drained them of their ability to remain human.

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Sep 26, 2008
Every year that I spent working 12 hours a day on interesting problems while I was in high school put me ahead 6 years on what I could accomplish today, when I’m lucky to get 1-2 hours free a day.

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Sep 22, 2008
Require the SEC to open up the L3 holdings of these banks to public scrutiny, auction off a sampling of these securities, and apply those prices to the L3 portfolios of all the banks. In this way we will know which banks are insolvent.
An anonymous banker has a better idea than throwing away 700 billion dollars. via

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Sep 21, 2008
I try to drench each novel with enough story and action and crisp dialogue to keep people from throwing the book against the wall when I start to preach at them.

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Sep 20, 2008
If you give people a measure of risk, they think they can control it and will take more risk.

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Sep 18, 2008
Bull markets are born in despair
grow with skepticism
mature with optimism
and die in mania.
— John Templetoni paraphrased by Prannoy Royi

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Sep 16, 2008
As long as we pay CEOs with stock that they don’t have to pay for, risk and reward will be decoupled.

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